Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 1.299133 1.598238 1.986353 2.543685 3.354331 4.546498 6.557746
2025-03-09 0.907793 1.226885 1.707094 2.540147 4.101842 7.352826 16.707948
2025-03-16 0.695077 0.990851 1.476754 2.429038 4.575531 10.608880 43.303714
2025-03-23 0.596825 0.889985 1.409782 2.550711 5.657757 18.272551 262.542808
2025-03-30 0.518195 0.797551 1.320824 2.572674 6.563734 30.094214 54250.231828
2025-04-06 0.452150 0.711245 1.215643 2.500799 7.140197 46.227888 NaN
2025-04-13 0.402933 0.645649 1.134081 2.450133 7.794181 75.904221 NaN
2025-04-20 0.381889 0.628649 1.150221 2.682027 10.256534 269.632820 NaN
2025-04-27 0.358064 0.601648 1.136468 2.820415 12.746875 1845.658344 NaN
2025-05-04 0.330682 0.563029 1.085995 2.811614 14.375748 163711.069333 NaN
2025-05-11 0.302795 0.519611 1.014921 2.696766 14.941756 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.286360 0.498165 0.994812 2.770073 17.914538 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.273813 0.483937 0.991926 2.924001 23.279441 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.257857 0.460334 0.959517 2.937375 27.223192 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.239461 0.429302 0.901229 2.804277 27.861310 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.230898 0.419478 0.900728 2.954725 37.487041 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.219969 0.402995 0.877960 2.981980 45.280547 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.207449 0.381611 0.837282 2.893378 48.350230 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.196698 0.363451 0.803668 2.831047 52.920913 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.193915 0.363824 0.826498 3.117308 92.180881 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.188813 0.358068 0.829212 3.289272 147.900761 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.181042 0.345069 0.806444 3.278311 187.104965 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.171847 0.327865 0.767610 3.135585 188.219257 NaN NaN